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Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by tomerico on Wednesday April 15, 2020 @02:36AM (#22875181)
I think that the answer is that we don't know what's the effect of each measure. The fact that Japan & Australia did not employ contact tracing, but also managed to contain the spread shows that there are other factors at play. It might be face masks use, or temperature (for Australia), but it does show that there are potential alternatives that could be viable.

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