Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]
by marcell on Wednesday April 15, 2020 @01:09AM
(#22874730)
Just in support of your argument, new data is showing that the fatality rate is lower then previously estimated, due to a large number of undetected cases.
I've seen a few more of these data points coming out, and nothing is 100% conclusive, all the new data points are showing that it's less bad than mainstream thinking suggests.
Just one example, tests of pregnant women coming into labor in New York show that 1/6 of them are positive for nCov, but 85% are asymptomatic or presymptomatic. (https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1249836446569181186)
Another example, Denmark is finding potentially as high as 30-80x undercounting of cases, which would bring the fatality rate down to 0.1-0.2% (like a bad flu season) [https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fxk917/covid19_in_...]
I've seen a few more of these data points coming out, and nothing is 100% conclusive, all the new data points are showing that it's less bad than mainstream thinking suggests.