California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf]

Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by cameldrv on Tuesday April 14, 2020 @11:47PM (#22874308)

Based on Italian serological and all cause mortality data I have seen, the death toll would more likely be about 1.4%. 0.5 IMO is quite optimistic. 0.1% of New York's population has already died.

This also discounts the unknown possibility of disability, reinfection, and limited time immunity.

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Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by DuskStar on Wednesday April 15, 2020 @12:14AM (#22874429)

I was under the impression that NYC had a confirmed infection rate of ~1%. Have they really had a tenth of confirmed cases die already?

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Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by irq11 on Wednesday April 15, 2020 @12:36AM (#22874545)

No. Currently >200k confirmed, <11k deaths in New York State.

NY population is 18.8M. 0.05% of the population has died.

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Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by Ankaios on Wednesday April 15, 2020 @01:37AM (#22874876)

New York City's population is around 8.5 M, and more then 10,000 people there have died from from the virus so far (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronav...). That puts the toll over 0.1 %.

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Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by irq11 on Wednesday April 15, 2020 @01:52AM (#22874965)

I cited the correct, current numbers for the entire state.

You’re citing numbers released by the city where they haven’t confirmed cases, so it doesn’t answer the OP’s question.

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Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by alexbanks on Wednesday April 15, 2020 @04:16PM (#22882506)

Can you cite them, rather than saying that you cited them?

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