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Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by ISL on Tuesday April 14, 2020 @10:51PM (#22873980)
I think the point of the plot is to suggest that intervention efforts are being quite successful relative to expectations at the time the "With Intervention" model was generated.

The brighter dashed line is there to show what happens if intervention is disabled completely.

I really like that the milestones are placed as questions, rather than dates. It is the right way to message the unknown.

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