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Re:California’s Roadmap to Modify the Stay-at-Home Order [pdf] by Retric on Tuesday April 14, 2020 @10:18PM (#22873784)
The line is the average of high and low estimates. The issue we are dealing with exponential growth so 1/10th x to 10x makes it look like the estimate is wildly off even when it’s surprisingly accurate.

Further, these estimates are much older than the data so showing their accuracy is useful.

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