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A comment on L.A. Times to Furlough Workers as Ad Revenue ‘Nearly Eliminated’. Parent comment

Re:L.A. Times to Furlough Workers as Ad Revenue ‘Nearly Elim... by randallsquared on Tuesday April 14, 2020 @09:03PM (#22873339)
New York was only a few days behind California. Density matters so much that it's going to take a long time to arrive at good answers for how much lockdowns affected this, and there will be very strong pressure for a long time not to arrive at any conclusion other than "it worked", regardless of whether that's the truth. Which, obviously, it might well be!
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Re:L.A. Times to Furlough Workers as Ad Revenue ‘Nearly Elim... by CydeWeys on Tuesday April 14, 2020 @10:59PM (#22874032)
A few days is a very long time when you're talking about an exponential curve. Shutting down a few days earlier relative to the start of the outbreak can easily halve the total number of deaths. And CA shut down 4 days before NY on an absolute basis and even earlier than that on a basis relative to the progression of the spread of the outbreak.

Acting early enough trumps everything else.

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