Re:The Global Dollar Short Squeeze
by TheOtherHobbes on Friday April 10, 2020 @04:21AM
(#22831055)
The difference between "This is the only currency that matters" and "You can do these transactions in any currency and it doesn't matter" is critical politically.
Currencies trade confidence, not fundamentals, and if confidence in a currency disappears to the point where it stops being the default choice for transactions, the effects are almost literally incalculable.
Short term trades can go up or down within a range bound by fundamentals. The further things get from their ‘correct’ value the more obvious the correlation becomes.
Aka, when people change their vacation plans etc based on currency fluctuations that’s a massive effect in aggregate.
I'm not saying the US doesn't usually have a lot to do with their demise, but simply that their fall isn't caused by moving from the petrodollars. Because it literally does not make any economic difference for the US , at all.