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A comment on Coronavirus and Credibility. Parent comment

Re:Coronavirus and Credibility by gpderetta on Thursday April 09, 2020 @06:23AM (#22821198)
That's interesting, it shows how misleading an average can be (the average 8000 dead for the flu that I quoted).

Still, if you focus on Italy, which is the most ahead in Europe, by March 28th (the time that report was updated), the number of deaths was already matching the 2017 peak (and in about 2/3 of the time). Since then the death count went up 70%.

edit: also note the caution about the uncertainty due to delayed registration.

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Re:Coronavirus and Credibility by gpderetta on Thursday April 09, 2020 @11:39AM (#22823585)
It seems that the website was updated a few minutes ago with data for week 14. Italy is looking much worse than 2017. England is also very scary.

The data is still lagging by a few days, but it seems that the numbers are starting to trend down.

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