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Re:Covid-19 twice as contagious as previously thought – CDC ... by jkhdigital on Wednesday April 08, 2020 @09:28PM (#22818999)
The preprint of this article was published on Feb 7th: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.07.20021154v...

The authors of this study are almost certainly not the only ones who "knew" it was twice as infectious based only on the data available back in early February, before anyone outside of China was testing at all.

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