Re:Coronavirus and Credibility
by jimbokun on Monday April 06, 2020 @03:18PM
(#22796881)
The differences with this coronavirus, as I understand it:
1. People are often contagious well before showing symptoms, making it much harder to track and isolate the people who have it.
2. It is about 10x more deadly than the flu. Could be more than that, as it's difficult to extrapolate from the current messy data. But I think it's safe to say it is much more deadly than the seasonal flu.
So far more people getting it, in a very short period of time, and a much higher percentage dying or requiring hospitalization, giving us the results we see. Overwhelmed health care systems, and death counts that will be much higher than seasonal flu without large scale mitigations in place.
1. People are often contagious well before showing symptoms, making it much harder to track and isolate the people who have it.
2. It is about 10x more deadly than the flu. Could be more than that, as it's difficult to extrapolate from the current messy data. But I think it's safe to say it is much more deadly than the seasonal flu.
So far more people getting it, in a very short period of time, and a much higher percentage dying or requiring hospitalization, giving us the results we see. Overwhelmed health care systems, and death counts that will be much higher than seasonal flu without large scale mitigations in place.