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Re:Coronavirus and Credibility by ryandrake on Monday April 06, 2020 @11:44AM (#22794697)
You can tell that, even today, people (especially the media) still don't understand the nature of exponential growth.

Every day, there's an article describing the new cases or deaths as a "surge". Look for that word: Surge. This word implies that the growth is somehow sudden or unexpected, whereas every day's actual day-to-day growth was predicted pretty accurately months ago. But, if you read the news, every day is described as some surprising "surge". I wish the media would stop calling every day's number a "surge" and start reporting "New coronavirus cases grew at (or above or below) the expected rate, doubling every N days."

Re:Coronavirus and Credibility by dboreham on Monday April 06, 2020 @02:16PM (#22796274)
Yes, if you click "log scale" on any of the many graph sites for almost any region, you see a line that's better straight than I could draw freehand.
Re:Coronavirus and Credibility by vkou on Monday April 06, 2020 @04:31PM (#22797497)
Actually, the log scale for infections in pretty much every polity has started bending downwards, about a week and a half after the lockdowns were put in place.
Re:Coronavirus and Credibility by isbadawi on Monday April 06, 2020 @03:10PM (#22796806)
I've always read "a surge" as synonymous with "an increase", which could be expected or unexpected depending on the context.