Re:Show HN: Log-Scale Covid-19 Plots
by grey-area on Saturday April 04, 2020 @03:48AM
(#22776881)
Daily numbers have problems too, they can get quite noisy. Both have their uses, particularly seen together. I also think linear scales have their place alongside log (which can be hard for laypeople to grasp). Here are daily numbers for France for example:
The jump recently is due to a change in reporting to include deaths outside hospital (something most countries have yet to do), and these are reported deaths not actual, and subject to all kinds of caveats. Reported cases is even worse. Recovered cases is worst of all and not being properly tracked in most areas.
A moving average of daily cases might be best. I think the ft (who have nice graphs of this along with commentary) are moving toward this.
https://coronavirus.projectpage.app/france?period=28
The jump recently is due to a change in reporting to include deaths outside hospital (something most countries have yet to do), and these are reported deaths not actual, and subject to all kinds of caveats. Reported cases is even worse. Recovered cases is worst of all and not being properly tracked in most areas.
A moving average of daily cases might be best. I think the ft (who have nice graphs of this along with commentary) are moving toward this.
https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
There's a nice commentary on what they're doing here:
https://mobile.twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1246184639540...