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Re:Americans are underestimating how long disruptions will l... by FrojoS on Friday April 03, 2020 @01:40PM (#22772011)
Your CFR is with respect to diagnosed cases. Many cases are mild and have no symptoms. The real CFR is likely an order of magnitude lower.
Re:Americans are underestimating how long disruptions will l... by alexandercrohde on Friday April 03, 2020 @02:01PM (#22772242)
That's one theory, but the evidence is mixed. For example, I believe in cruise ships, where everybody was tested the CFR was ~ 3%. However maybe the age distribution was older.

There are a lot of factors, some cause underestimating of cfr (he died of pneumonia, didn't have a test to spare, cause of death pneumonia).