Re:Bill Gates calls for nationwide shutdown
by schadara on Thursday April 02, 2020 @03:35AM
(#22756971)
I agree that every life must be saved, but every month is a battle, and there will be a war.
China locked down and won a battle, but you will likely see another outbreak in a few weeks, and if they lockdown again, there will be another outbreak when they open up again. The daily cases chart will look like a dribbling ball.
Notice that US officials are focusing flattening the curve, instead of a strict quarantine to prevent all infections. It's not only because they're worried about the economy or the logistics. It's because a strict quarantine only works if everyone is doing it - I mean EVERYONE in the world. If we do a Nationwide lockdown, we will need to do another one when an asymptomatic visitor/citizen enters/returns to the US.
I see two outcomes:
1) Eventually, most everyone will either be infected or immunized for this pandemic to stop.
2) We do a global lockdown for 5 weeks.
China locked down and won a battle, but you will likely see another outbreak in a few weeks, and if they lockdown again, there will be another outbreak when they open up again. The daily cases chart will look like a dribbling ball.
Notice that US officials are focusing flattening the curve, instead of a strict quarantine to prevent all infections. It's not only because they're worried about the economy or the logistics. It's because a strict quarantine only works if everyone is doing it - I mean EVERYONE in the world. If we do a Nationwide lockdown, we will need to do another one when an asymptomatic visitor/citizen enters/returns to the US.
I see two outcomes: 1) Eventually, most everyone will either be infected or immunized for this pandemic to stop. 2) We do a global lockdown for 5 weeks.