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Re:Ask HN: How to prosper under negative interest rates? by SketchySeaBeast on Tuesday March 31, 2020 @12:22PM (#22739172)
My parents retired a year ago. If they'd kept all their money in the stock market until this month they'd be in a lot of trouble, and probably will be for the foreseeable future - how is that not a gamble? "You need to diversify" would be an argument against gambling in the stock market, and getting into something safer.
Re:Ask HN: How to prosper under negative interest rates? by tathougies on Tuesday March 31, 2020 @12:44PM (#22739435)
If they stick to a reasonable withdrawal rate, they likely would not be. The stock market will rise in time, and has almost certainly risen in value since the time they made investments, even with the current drop in share prices.
Re:Ask HN: How to prosper under negative interest rates? by stevesimmons on Tuesday March 31, 2020 @12:51PM (#22739519)
Even if your parents put everything in the stock market, they would presumably draw down that capital gradually over the coming 20+ years.

i.e. They are diversified over time.

Re:Ask HN: How to prosper under negative interest rates? by pbk1 on Tuesday March 31, 2020 @01:10PM (#22739757)
In addition to the withdrawal rate as others have mentioned, the prudent approach to retiring now would be gradually changing their allocation to a less risky mix over the course of several years. Had for example they rotated some equity into a modest amount of Treasuries, that portion of their portfolio would actually be doing well right now (see for example $TLT).
Re:Ask HN: How to prosper under negative interest rates? by quickthrower2 on Tuesday March 31, 2020 @11:18PM (#22745290)
Yeah it’s common advise to move a higher proportion of your wealth into cash as you approach retirement and I think it is the default behaviour of superannuation plans (I.e. pension) in Australia.
Re:Ask HN: How to prosper under negative interest rates? by xchaotic on Tuesday March 31, 2020 @02:26PM (#22740730)
You need to rebalance your portfolio as you get closer to retirement as you can’t time the market. I think by the time you’re retirement age, your portfolio should be 30% equities
Re:Ask HN: How to prosper under negative interest rates? by SketchySeaBeast on Tuesday March 31, 2020 @03:01PM (#22741157)
Would you say that you should put it into safer things, maybe gamble with it less?