The situation in South Korea is clearly an outlier. Even knowing exactly the steps which have drastically slowed the growth of the virus in South Korea is about as useful as knowing last week's lottery numbers at this point.

It's not an outlier. Germany has even lower numbers despite doing even less than Korea.

Italy and the UK book the death of anyone who died testing positive as a covid19 death. The UK won't release any figures beyond that. Not even hospitalisation data. Studies in Italy show fewer than 15% of those deaths might be specifically caused by it.

> On re-evaluation by the National Institute of Health, only 12 per cent of death certificates have shown a direct causality from coronavirus, while 88 per cent of patients who have died have at least one pre-morbidity - many had two or three,” he says.^

In fact the average comorbiditities is 2.7. mean age of death is 79.5 years. Median 80.5.

^ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-diseas...

Taiwan, Hong Kong. You can even say that Italy is an outlier too.