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A comment on Epidemiologist behind Imperial College coronavirus model revises model. Parent comment

Re:Epidemiologist behind Imperial College coronavirus model ... by neaden on Thursday March 26, 2020 @04:56PM (#22697901)
New cases isn't a good metric because of how testing can change. Deaths is more reliable metric to be used when prevalence is high, as it is in Italy and now the US.
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Re:Epidemiologist behind Imperial College coronavirus model ... by salmon30salmon on Thursday March 26, 2020 @05:03PM (#22697971)
And in the case of Italy, you would expect the new case rate to outpace itself for a long while as testing is ramped up, but even with increased testing the new case level is leveling off. This indicates an already infected populace that has since recovered.
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Re:Epidemiologist behind Imperial College coronavirus model ... by glofish on Thursday March 26, 2020 @05:04PM (#22697976)
deaths are not a reliable metric at all. old and sick people are far more susceptible.
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