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Re:Epidemiologist behind Imperial College coronavirus model ... by sgt101 on Thursday March 26, 2020 @04:20PM (#22697532)
>The reason is that the transmissibility estimate has gone up

citation please.

My understanding is that it's because of the policy intervention that his team advised.

Re:Epidemiologist behind Imperial College coronavirus model ... by jtbayly on Thursday March 26, 2020 @04:26PM (#22697613)
Re:Epidemiologist behind Imperial College coronavirus model ... by sgt101 on Thursday March 26, 2020 @06:42PM (#22698723)
Ok - I read this :

"He said that expected increases in National Health Service capacity and ongoing restrictions to people’s movements make him “reasonably confident” the health service can cope when the predicted peak of the epidemic arrives in two or three weeks. UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, he said, and could be much lower."

and

"This measure of how many other people a carrier usually infects is now believed to be just over three, he said, up from 2.5. “That adds more evidence to support the more intensive social distancing measures,” he said."

So the article says EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE OF WHAT YOU CLAIMED.

This is disinformation.