Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐evidence‐based measures

Re:Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐ev... by joe_the_user on Tuesday March 24, 2020 @12:21AM (#22671897)

Washington state doesn't have a statewide lockdown, I don't know if even Seattle has a lockdown. California is doing the best but there are still crowds defying the lockdown at beaches and parks. Just as much, grocery stores are open as usual and even with most people trying to do social distancing, I'm doubtful you're clamping that hard on the infection, unfortunately.

I think the best is that when fatalities spike here in California, we're in better shape to intensify the lockdown.

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Re:Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐ev... by usaar333 on Tuesday March 24, 2020 @12:29AM (#22671938)

The measures that have in place in both states have drastically clamped down on infection rates - the growth in WA is barely above linear at this point (and remember you are always looking 10 days backward). CA is also sub-exponential. Look at the data (in the presence of high testing):

https://covid-19.direct/state/WA

If you look at thermometer data (less accurate, but a good predictor), there's little problem going forward in either state. (but serious problems in the NY metro area):

https://healthweather.us/

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Re:Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐ev... by joe_the_user on Tuesday March 24, 2020 @12:45AM (#22672037)

To my eyes, California just looks slower exponential and Washington is ambiguous. A few days of non-growth can be randomness or reporting problems.

But I hope you're right! We all need to do our parts.

I'd also note that things are getting "hot" in other states and each has it's problems.

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Re:Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐ev... by int_19h on Tuesday March 24, 2020 @02:25AM (#22672494)

At least some of WA's lower numbers recently were due to fewer tests performed.

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Re:Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐ev... by rbritton on Tuesday March 24, 2020 @12:27AM (#22671932)

Washington does as of 5:00 pm PDT today.

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Re:Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐ev... by DoreenMichele on Tuesday March 24, 2020 @12:58AM (#22672103)

I've dug through everything I can find. I'm feeling really stupid at the moment, but I cannot find a confirmation of that 5pm start time, though it does appear to start today and "immediately." It runs through April 6, but could be extended.

Tweet is from 6:50pm: https://twitter.com/GovInslee/status/1242267557295321090

https://medium.com/wagovernor/inslee-announces-stay-home-sta...

https://www.governor.wa.gov/sites/default/files/proclamation...

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Re:Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐ev... by rbritton on Thursday March 26, 2020 @12:56AM (#22690856)

That’s when the announcement of it was broadcast, which is why I used that time.

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Re:Covid-19: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐ev... by DoreenMichele on Thursday March 26, 2020 @01:05AM (#22690875)

Thanks.

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