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A comment on Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer?. Parent comment

Re:Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer? by mvanaltvorst on Monday March 23, 2020 @06:13AM (#22662522)
You can't extrapolate the spread of viruses using an exponential function, you have to use a logistic function. Unfortunately, there isn't enough data to accurately fit a logistic function right now.
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Re:Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer? by perl4ever on Monday March 23, 2020 @12:07PM (#22665330)
My mathematical intuition may not be any good, but if you are saying it will be a sigmoid type curve, would doubling the time be plausible?

But this is not in disagreement with my comment, since this would involve slowing down.

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Re:Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer? by jgalt212 on Monday March 23, 2020 @08:45AM (#22663517)
Tell that to the "shutdown the world people". The entire basis of this response is the exponential function.
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Re:Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer? by 2snakes on Monday March 23, 2020 @01:07PM (#22666075)
With physical distancing, it may be exponential at first, but then taper off, like it did in Wuhan: https://www.calcalistech.com/ctech/articles/0,7340,L-3800632...
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