Re:Merkel bans meetings of more than two people to slow coro...
by FlorianRappl on Sunday March 22, 2020 @06:19PM
(#22659275)
Before you reason about somebody's assumption you should first think about your interpretation. Next time please read it more carefully before you compare apples and oranges.
You compare death numbers from the flu to COVID.
COVID is a pandemic that is in its exponential growth phase, with zero existing immunity and no existing treatment. The flu is a well-known, well-studied disease for which we have a vaccine, to which many people will have some level of immunity and for which we actually have a treatment. The flu is also at the end of the season right now. COVID is only getting started.
Even if we instituted perfect social distancing and prevented all further spread we can expect COVID deaths to double every few days for the next few weeks because of the incubation period. I am willing to bet good money that the 2k influenza deaths this year will dwindle in comparison to the number of COVID deaths when everything is said and done.