Re:The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming
by irq11 on Monday March 23, 2020 @08:26PM
(#22670467)
” Epidemiologists say that influenza is easier to control.”
Not that I have heard of. You’re going to have to cite some evidence here.
(They’re both respiratory viruses with similar R0, so your evidence needs to be pretty extraordinary to be convincing.)
Epidemiologists do count with overwhelmed hospitals and services, excess deaths due that that, excess deaths on unrelated heath problems. It not just something they talk about, they have it in their models too. This does not happen with influenza, because it is easier to control. Irrelevant distraction there is Italy or Spain lately.
Epidemiologists do talk also about costs after epidemic ends, in treatment of people who will need care for long.
What amateurs do is to ignore all the above, pick up case fatality ration in well run non-overwhelmed health care system and pretend that is situation same as influenza to feel good.