Yesterday's evening jump was unexpected. We jumped yesterday, instead of 1.5x the day before, all of the way to 2x.n If 10k is the new baseline and we return back to 1.5x we're going to exceed Italy in cases by Monday and exceed China by Wednesday.

Then, I fear, St Patrick's day partiers will only be measured by next Wednesday; 5 days incubation + 5 days to have test results.