I mean, it's just frustration. You have to expect this from a novel disease once you realize its R0 has been characterized, it's greater than 2, it's airborne and asymptomatic patients can transmit it. What have been people expecting? I'm a physicist, I've seen this kind of growth. We also have this totalitarian principle which states that "Everything not forbidden is compulsory", I see no fundamental difference, it has to happen. Just don't act like in ordinary politics where problems can be waved away, Nature doesn't care about that.

Oh heck yes. ISWYM and that's the way I treated it - seriously, starting 2 months ago, for exactly those reasons. I just don't get it either, it's like head-meets-wall every time you try to tell anybody. It's so depressing.

(what I thought you might have meant was a criticism of me misusing maths and you were getting pissed off telling people it was a sigmoid not an exponential).

ISWYM - I see what you mean?

Yes. See http://muller-godschalk.com/acronyms.html for an excessively long list - I've not seen 90% of these but a few are useful.

OK but how much larger than 2? Is it 2,5 or is it something like 5? Because the narrative so far doesn't fit the reality.

Nobody knows for sure, of course, but my understanding is that it is thought to be between 2.0 and 2.6 in the “do nothing” scenario. Which is scary big: See the Ferguson paper that I referenced in a different comment.

Thanks, will do.