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Re:Effect of economic crisis on America’s small businesses [... by mjul on Saturday March 21, 2020 @08:16AM (#22646038)
Here is a fresh preprint from University of Padova showing that weak quarantines have no significant effect:

Quantifying undetected COVID-19 cases and effects of containment measures in Italy

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/339915690_Quantifyi...

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