Re:Is It Time to Rethink Globalized Supply Chains?
by danans on Friday March 20, 2020 @09:52PM
(#22643563)
It's a fuzzy line as to what is predicted or not.
One of most catastrophic earthquakes in recorded American history took place in 1811 in a place called New Madrid, Missouri, not far from Kansas. I'd predict that it's going to happen there again.
If it does, I'd still call it a black swan, since the systemic incentives to not prepare for such an earthquake in that area are probably optimized for the short-term.
One of most catastrophic earthquakes in recorded American history took place in 1811 in a place called New Madrid, Missouri, not far from Kansas. I'd predict that it's going to happen there again.
If it does, I'd still call it a black swan, since the systemic incentives to not prepare for such an earthquake in that area are probably optimized for the short-term.