Re:Ask HN: Isolation (from coronavirus) is only a temporary ...
by DougN7 on Friday March 20, 2020 @10:10AM
(#22637610)
> The number of people an infected person infects is hopefully driven (far) below 1 through lock down.
That is only true for the period of time the lock down is in force. Once lock down ends we're back where we started. Lock down merely hits a pause button.
> as far as people can be treated to achieve immunity more quickly.
Do some calculations on how long that takes for 330 million people (or only 220 million people for herd immunity). Time is the problem.
> It's a good time to be a maker of ventilators.
Probably true.
This is not a question.
> (I wish the above wasn't true, but my wishes don't count for anything)
I grant your wish.
> Where is the hole in the above rationale?
The number of people an infected person infects is hopefully driven (far) below 1 through lock down.
If no vaccine will be available soon enough, the curve can be steepened again as far as people can be treated to achieve immunity more quickly.
It's a good time to be a maker of ventilators.