Readers may also be interested in this forceful reply by a well-known research at Harvard's School of Public Health who studies the dynamics of infectious disease, Mark Lipsitch (1). While the document linked in the parent highlights the many uncertainties we have, the response focuses on datasets from countries where we do have more data.

1. https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/18/we-know-enough-now-to-ac...