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Re:New research shows social distancing a must to beat Covid-19 by duxup on Thursday March 19, 2020 @11:29AM (#22628379)
>There is just too much confidence that confirmed cases are representative of the spread of the virus.

Is that really the case? I'm finding it to be pretty common knowledge that "confirmed cases" is simply just that.

Re:New research shows social distancing a must to beat Covid-19 by jamesrcole on Thursday March 19, 2020 @11:33AM (#22628413)
Another factor is that “confirmed cases” is very very frequently reported as just “cases”.
Re:New research shows social distancing a must to beat Covid-19 by bproven on Thursday March 19, 2020 @11:31AM (#22628395)
Unfortunately, that is not how a lot of people think. Wish it was.

Furthermore, when you see that (larger) number it has a psychological effect of "this might be serious".

Re:New research shows social distancing a must to beat Covid-19 by _jal on Thursday March 19, 2020 @11:41AM (#22628495)
If conversations with my family are any indication, yes. People see low-looking numbers and place names of faraway cities in headlines and think it isn't serious.

After making them think about incubation times that starts changing, but it takes a conversation.

What is common knowledge depends very much on who you're common with.