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A comment on ‘I’m not an epidemiologist but’: The rise of the corona influencers. Parent comment

Re:‘I’m not an epidemiologist but’: The rise of the corona i... by nostromo on Wednesday March 18, 2020 @06:41PM (#22622169)
The Princess Cruise has nearly perfect data as everyone in a controlled population was tested. (This is not true for South Korea, which has tested less than half a percent of their population.)

The fatality rate was 0.8%. The majority of their passengers were over 60 years old, so even this number is too high compared to the global population.

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Re:‘I’m not an epidemiologist but’: The rise of the corona i... by joe_the_user on Wednesday March 18, 2020 @06:49PM (#22622233)
Yes, the Princess Cruise tells 0.8% might be the best case fatality rate with a functioning medical system.

Even that would be catastrophic for if the virus infects a large percentage of the population, as it is rapidly moving to do. Thus we cannot be even in the least bit sanguine on this and need to move with speed against it. This is in no way comparable to 2009 or other recent events (contrary to your ggp).

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Re:‘I’m not an epidemiologist but’: The rise of the corona i... by nostromo on Wednesday March 18, 2020 @07:07PM (#22622431)
As I mentioned, the cruise ship was full of old people, so no, it's not the best case scenario. It's likely the worst case scenario.
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Re:‘I’m not an epidemiologist but’: The rise of the corona i... by joe_the_user on Wednesday March 18, 2020 @07:40PM (#22622685)
No, the worst case scenario is not medical system to help the people who become seriously ill, which 20%, according to WHO and multiple other authorities and statistics.
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