Re:50% – 75% of cases of Covid-19 are asymptomatic
by gnulinux on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @01:58PM
(#22607932)
Currently, we have 7 total reported deaths from the cruise ship and 696 confirmed cases. Seeing that it's been a long while since the outbreak, let's assume all current cases will survive; this puts us to 1% CFR. But note that Cruise Ship had a higher average age than public, so assuming you'll receive all the medical care you need, ~1% CFR seems to be a good approximate upper-bound estimate.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:50% – 75% of cases of Covid-19 are asymptomatic
by nostromo on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @03:25PM
(#22609146)
The majority of people on the cruise ship were older and it's not at all representative of the real population.
Re:50% – 75% of cases of Covid-19 are asymptomatic
by gnulinux on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @03:31PM
(#22609234)
That's why I said an "upper-bound" approximation. As in, CFR for general population is likely below 1%.
Re:50% – 75% of cases of Covid-19 are asymptomatic
by malandrew on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @03:20PM
(#22609067)
IIRC all or almost all of those 7 were over 80.
Re:50% – 75% of cases of Covid-19 are asymptomatic
by gnulinux on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @03:30PM
(#22609219)
I heard "all over 80" on HN and reddit multiple times as well, but could not confirm. Regardless, Italy's official average age of death is 81, so it wouldn't be surprising.
Re:50% – 75% of cases of Covid-19 are asymptomatic
by Erikun on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @05:09PM
(#22610460)
6 in the 70-79 bracket and one in 80-89, but 70-79 was also the biggest group. https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/severity/diamond_crui...