Re:CDC says U.S. gatherings of over 50 people should be put off
by usaar333 on Sunday March 15, 2020 @10:44PM
(#22589272)
Your CFR numbers are likely too low across the board - about 2x off would be my guess.
Here's Wuhan's data: https://i.ibb.co/983SC13/covplot.png
Or, to put it another way, somebody 60 and under who catches it has about a 0.06% chance of dying, while somebody over 60 has about a 1.94% chance of dying.
Of course, this is before considering the effects of overloaded hospitals, which would be likely to skew those numbers, as younger people would have a better chance of surviving without proper medical care than older people.