Re:Please poke holes in my Covid-19 math (SF Bay Area)
by rrss on Sunday March 15, 2020 @04:20PM
(#22586386)
The distinction 'kragen is making is between actual cases (total number of people with the virus) versus cases confirmed via testing. The daily growth of ~33% probably reflects increase in testing capacity more than increase in actual cases.
Here are some studies supporting the doubling time estimate of 6-8 days:
Here are some studies supporting the doubling time estimate of 6-8 days:
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/5/20-0146_article
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...