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Re:Open letter from Italy to the international scientific co... by Animats on Sunday March 15, 2020 @01:00AM (#22581407)
It's somewhat arbitrary, but you can't start from "patient zero" because that's not usually known. And the detailed circumstances of the first few patients matter. By 100 or so, the disease is in the population and starts to behave statistically. That's what's called "community spread".

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