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A comment on Open letter from Italy to the international scientific community. Parent comment

Re:Open letter from Italy to the international scientific co... by bluGill on Saturday March 14, 2020 @10:18PM (#22580629)
Actually we do know one number :the total number of people in ICU is normal for this time of year. There are a handful of confirmed cases (I'm not sure if they are in ICU), but the total number of cases is still low.

It is hindsight, but expontial grow means that despite not testing we didn't have a problem two months ago. Maybe we should have been in lock down a week ago, but anything sooner would be overreacting and not necessary. Most of the US is on lock down now which seems like about the right time to start. No more than a week sooner can be seriously argued.

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Re:Open letter from Italy to the international scientific co... by dragontamer on Sunday March 15, 2020 @04:10AM (#22582126)
It takes about 7 days after developing symptoms for the hospitalized cases to come in.

Most people who get sick think its a normal cold. They stay at home for a week, and when they can barely breath anymore, they finally enter the emergency room.

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Re:Open letter from Italy to the international scientific co... by bluGill on Sunday March 15, 2020 @07:13PM (#22587766)
Exactly. 2 weeks ago this was a worry but not significant as evidence by current ICU fill rates. Expect Washington, hopefully the rest of the country doesn't follow
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