Re:What we can learn from the 1918 flu pandemic
by shadowprofile77 on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @12:15PM
(#22546985)
I agree with you on what you say about zero chance for those dates, but there have been predictions (many repeated right here on HN) about a level of spread that in months infects dozens to hundreds of millions and results in several million fatalities worldwide. So far, none of these extreme prediction figures have a genuinely concrete footing (and a number of similar figures were predicted for how much it would have spread even by now, which obviously haven't come to pass)
Re:What we can learn from the 1918 flu pandemic
by onlyrealcuzzo on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @12:38PM
(#22547185)
Deleted
There's almost zero chance you see peak virus before end of March in the US. From what I hear, most people are predicting peaks in Europe in late April / early May and peaks in the US a week or two after.
I'm not sure how much faster you think we'll see peak than that.
Maybe you mean the tail will be shorter? Most people I see are predicting Coronavirus will impact consumer behavior until end of year. I don't have the first clue how likely that is.