Italy is extending its coronavirus quarantine measures to the entire country

Re:Italy is extending its coronavirus quarantine measures to... by algorias on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @05:35AM (#22534036)

What you say is true in principle, but your numbers are wrong. I got a rather less dramatic 50% difference after a year:

  >>> 1.02**365
  1377.4082919660768
  >>> 1.021**365
  1969.6808462403098
  >>>

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Re:Italy is extending its coronavirus quarantine measures to... by davidiach on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @06:19AM (#22534222)

Thanks for the correction, I didn't actually do the math for that, just remembered something I've read a while back, but the numbers where different 20% vs 21%.

Apparently I don't understand exponential growth either cause I assumed a 5% difference scales linearly (as in the difference between 20% vs 21% growth rates for a given period should be the same as between 2% and 2.1%).

Silly me.

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Re:Italy is extending its coronavirus quarantine measures to... by hef19898 on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @06:23AM (#22534241)

But a good exmple showing why numbers are so important. A 50% difference is an order of magnitude away from a factor 20. Thing is, once out there the wrong factor 20 is impossible to correct.

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