Re:Exponential Growth and Covid-19 [video]
by nateberkopec on Sunday March 08, 2020 @04:48PM
(#22520503)
"The American Hospital Association said the webinar reflects the views of the experts who spoke on it, not its own."
You're quoting the opinion of one person: Dr James Lawler, a professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Centre. That person researches infectious diseases, so, their opinion isn't a complete guess of course, but we should ascribe the numbers to the right source.
Where it says next 2 months?
If the doubling time is one week there is just something like 100k - 200k infections in next two months.
I think those numbers are yearly infection estimates.
I think the graph meant 96 million infections active in the peak two months. Hard to be sure without seeing the presentation, but it definitely isn’t the next two months.
Re:Exponential Growth and Covid-19 [video]
by abootstrapper on Sunday March 08, 2020 @04:16PM
(#22520292)
Source link?
96,000,000 infections
4,800,000 hospitalizations
1,900,000 ICU admissions
480,000 deaths
vs flu in 2019:
35,500,000 infections
490,600 hospitalizations
49,000 ICU admissions
34,200 deaths