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Re:Surprised by the hot hand fallacy? a truth in the law of ... by fullshark on Saturday March 07, 2020 @03:11PM (#22513713)
Is the point you only consider measuring success in the case of an initial success? Thus you are conditioning on data with at least one success contained within it and have biased data?
Re:Surprised by the hot hand fallacy? a truth in the law of ... by srtjstjsj on Saturday March 07, 2020 @10:32PM (#22516171)
No, the point is about a subtlety in the way averages of averages are calculated, and how that introduces weighting biases.