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Re:Fed cuts half point in emergency move amid spreading virus by airstrike on Tuesday March 03, 2020 @10:54AM (#22475515)
According to my fancy math based on numbers from Johns Hopkins COVID-19 dashboard[0][1], we're closer to a 7% mortality rate

[0] direct link: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594...

[1] posted to HN: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22475060

Re:Fed cuts half point in emergency move amid spreading virus by vonmoltke on Tuesday March 03, 2020 @12:04PM (#22476336)
First, you are conflating mortality rate with case fatality rate (CFR). Mortality rate is deaths with respect to a total population; CFR is deaths with respect to diagnosed cases.

Second, since this is an ongoing outbreak the CFR is a moving target. Your calculation assumes the ratio of deaths to recoveries remains what it is now for the ~40k active cases. However, the CFR by that calculation has been steadily falling. Additionally, since CFR is only based on diagnosed cases the struggles with testing capacity, particularly in the US, will distort it by biasing diagnoses towards more severe cases.

Re:Fed cuts half point in emergency move amid spreading virus by airstrike on Tuesday March 03, 2020 @12:07PM (#22476373)
Thanks for the clarification!
Re:Fed cuts half point in emergency move amid spreading virus by carlsborg on Tuesday March 03, 2020 @11:35AM (#22476000)
Same data, nicer dashboard and breaking news: https://coronastats.net