Re:UC Santa Cruz fires 54 grad students who were striking fo...
by WalterBright on Monday March 02, 2020 @02:31PM
(#22467916)
Their track record.
Re:UC Santa Cruz fires 54 grad students who were striking fo...
by logifail on Tuesday March 03, 2020 @03:02AM
(#22472709)
> Their track record
If you think that "25 years of not blowing up" is a sure-fire way to predict the risk of blowing up in year 26, I would recommend reading Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Re:UC Santa Cruz fires 54 grad students who were striking fo...
by WalterBright on Tuesday March 03, 2020 @05:27AM
(#22473291)
I never said "sure-fire" or anything like it. Anyone who believes in "sure-fire" investments is a fool. The theory that people with lots of money to hire the best are fools doesn't seem credible to me.
Besides, Warren Buffet has a stellar track record much longer than 25 years. People paying him to manage their money has made him very, very rich and those people very happy with him.
How would one propose to distinguish* someone who will deliver growth for - say - 25 consecutive years from someone who delivers growth for 5 years yet blows up your endowment in year 6 ?
* beforehand ;)