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A comment on I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad. Parent comment

Re:I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad by kspacewalk2 on Saturday February 29, 2020 @02:11PM (#22452350)
>the death rate will surge from 0.5-4% (no exact figure at the moment) to 10-20% like earlier in Wuhan

Those percentages come from different samples altogether and cannot be compared. 10-20% is heavily biased toward people who were admitted before there were even reliable tests for the virus or a recognition that it's novel and serious. Now you're comparing that to 0.5-4% which includes a bunch (though by no means close to all) of mild cases who got picked up by the tests but may not have required a hospital visit at all. What's the point of mentioning two numbers that aren't just unreliable and biased, but unreliable and biased in different ways?

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Re:I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad by sciinfo on Saturday February 29, 2020 @11:13PM (#22455070)
Yes, I think I might have mixed up stats of different kinds (Posting too late at night, sorry).

However, the point stands that fatality rates will likely go up a lot if medical resources are overwhelmed. Long-term lung damage is also another risk for younger people and its rate will also go up.

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