Re:I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad
by Medicalidiot on Saturday February 29, 2020 @10:03AM
(#22450876)
Let me try to rephrase what you're saying just to understand where you're coming from. "these are cool numbers, but what's the chance that the average person is going to actually have any of these complications?". I don't have any cogent numbers on that, but the current deaths/(deaths+resolved) percentage is 8%.
Re:I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad
by leereeves on Saturday February 29, 2020 @10:09AM
(#22450906)
> what's the chance that the average person is going to actually have any of these complications?
Yes, that's the question we'd all like to have the answer to.
But we don't know how many mild or asymptomatic cases have resolved, so the deaths/(deaths+resolved) calculation is a known divided by an unknown.
Re:I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad
by Medicalidiot on Saturday February 29, 2020 @10:21AM
(#22450968)
I didn't even think of how many people are asymptomatic carriers when I said that number. More data, like all science, is the answer here.
Honestly, someone I highly respect who is high up on the medicine food chain is very concerned that a lot of people are going to die and that's been making me very concerned.
> Here is the list of complications: -ARDS in 29% (Acute respiratory distress disease, this needs mechanical ventilation to survive) -acute cardiac injury in 12% (this potentially kills your heart tissue which leads to arrhythmia and then a heart attack) -secondary infection in 10%
Those percentages say how many out of 41 admitted hospital patients have those serious complications.
But of course they have serious complications, that's why they were admitted to the hospital.
Those percentages say nothing about the health risks to the average person who is infected.