I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad

Re:I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad by dr_dshiv on Saturday February 29, 2020 @09:01AM (#22450559)

So, my son had a really bad cold that resulted in an infected lymph node and a course of antibiotics. They never ran a test for covid-19.

So, how do we know that we have anywhere close to the right number of total patients?

Do you have any citations for these high numbers? Some statistical skepticism is important in matters of public concern.

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Re:I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad by adnzzzzZ on Saturday February 29, 2020 @09:20AM (#22450668)

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.18.20024539v... This is a paper that looks at 50k Chinese patients and 18.1% of them are considered "severe cases", which China has been using to mean needing special care in the hospital.

And based on a WHO official's statements they found no evidence that there was a big number of unreported cases in China. https://www.statnews.com/2020/02/25/new-data-from-china-butt..., https://twitter.com/HelenBranswell/status/123233479099875328.... Which would mean that these numbers coming out of there are likely more correct than wrong.

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Re:I have the coronavirus. So far, it isn't that bad by dr_dshiv on Saturday February 29, 2020 @10:17AM (#22450943)

From your second link:

"“What [the data] support is that sure, there may be a few asymptomatic cases … but there’s probably not huge transmission beyond what you can actually see clinically,” Aylward said.

The claim was quickly challenged by an infectious diseases expert who serves on a committee that advises the WHO’s health emergencies program."

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