Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus

Re:Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus by bamboozled on Friday February 28, 2020 @09:48PM (#22448397)

Are you qualified to make these claims and assumptions though, do you study viruses ? You’re a scientist who understand these things well?

Ok it’s fine to speculate, but you’re throwing up some big figures in what’s already a panicked situation and pretty much everything you’re saying is based purely on speculation and anecdotal evidence.

I just find it odd health organisations have already done studies, published numbers yet people all cover the internet (on HN of all places) seem to feel like they want to exaggerate the issue, refute the science and don’t trust the existing numbers. Why ?

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Re:Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus by nullc on Friday February 28, 2020 @11:08PM (#22448741)

I am not, but the paper I was referencing was written by people who are: https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/162/5/479/82647 My interesting the question arose out of my experience with non-epidemiological process estimation.

I spoken with a professional epidemiologist and they also agreed.

If CDC were saying that they considered this case and concluded that d/c is a more reliable estimator, I'd be happy to hear it. Instead, it appears d/c -- which is a good estimator for viruses in steady state-- is being used because it's just the default and the only research I can find which has actually evaluated this question found that d/c underestimates in a rapidly spreading infection.

[ Parent | on HN ]