Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus

Re:Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus by jointpdf on Friday February 28, 2020 @04:36PM (#22446621)

>Had anyone seen death and recovery by age?

There was a recent (Feb 17) study here with mortality crosstabs (see ‘results’): http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9...

Case fatality rate (N_deaths/N_confirmed_cases):

[0-9]: NA

[10-39]: 0.2%

[40-49]: 0.4%

[50-59]: 1.3%

[60-69]: 3.6%

[70-79]: 8.0%

[>=80]: 14.8%

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Re:Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus by nullc on Friday February 28, 2020 @04:41PM (#22446677)

Indeed. I've seen that, but not deaths,recoveries data. The above has the potential underestimate problem from case growths.

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Re:Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus by jointpdf on Friday February 28, 2020 @05:30PM (#22447014)

They include a breakdown by date of onset as well, which isn’t exactly the method you suggest (but I read somewhere that recovery time is ~2 weeks for mild cases and ~3-6 weeks for severe).

Case fatality by date of onset:

[<Dec 31] 14.4% (n=105)

[Jan 1-10] 15.6% (n=653)

[Jan 11-20] 5.7% (n=5417)

[Jan 21-31] 1.9% (n=26468)

[>Feb 1] 0.8% (n=12030)

That does make the overall fatality rate look quite a bit worse than the naive calculation.

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Re:Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus by HarryHirsch on Friday February 28, 2020 @05:15PM (#22446915)

From the Diamond Princess we've got a pretty good idea about mortality. It's almost a conspiracy theory: let the disease run its course in a controlled environment to see how bad it is.

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Re:Google employee diagnosed with coronavirus by nullc on Friday February 28, 2020 @07:19PM (#22447661)

Diamond Princess isolated people, no? That is unlike what we'll see in the broader population.

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