Re:How the 1918 Flu Spread Across America (2017)
by omgwtfbyobbq on Friday February 28, 2020 @01:53PM
(#22445258)
>Actually it's 6 out of 705. [0][1] May seem like a small difference, but a 0.8% chance of dying is 8x more than the flu.
There's a good chance being confined to a cabin in a cruise ship and acquiring COVID-19 is more detrimental to someone than if they had a community acquired infection going about their normal life.
Being restricted like that implies they're getting significantly less exercise than they would normally, and the stress combined with lack of sun can do a number on someone's sleep cycle. That in turn can influence cognition, especially in the elderly, and I imagine increases the chances of being dehydrated/etc...
It's like being in a hospital, which tends to do a number on most people, but without supportive around the clock care.
Actually it's 6 out of 705. [0][1] May seem like a small difference, but a 0.8% chance of dying is 8x more than the flu.
Never mind the fact that the data out of China, Italy, Japan and Iran is all trending around the 2-3% CFR calculated and published in multiple peer reviewed journals. [2][3]
(However, South Korea might be reason for hope.)
>or been very old
It bothers me immensely when people mention it's "just old people". I'm not sure why I should "chill" about my parents having an 8% chance of dying if they contract this. [3]
[0] https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus...
[1] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
[2] https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130
[3] http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9...