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Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by jakeinspace on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @12:46AM (#22420626)
Seems worse than the average flu. Not likely that you'll die from it if you're young and not immunocompromised, but just because you don't die doesn't mean there won't be long term health effects. And if you have anyone over age 70 or under age 2 who you care at all about, their lives could be at risk.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by Scipio_Afri on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @12:52AM (#22420655)
Seems like children under 9 are not effected much at all, not sure about under 2 tho.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by vanniv on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:03AM (#22420698)
For some reason, coronaviruses generally rarely affect children -- and those that get it rarely spread it to others despite children being fucking disease magnets.

This seems not to be very well understood, but it is really interesting.

So far there are no known cases affecting children under 2 (as of two days ago when I read the paper about coronavirus and children)

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by JimDabell on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @02:25AM (#22421073)
> So far there are no known cases affecting children under 2

This is not the case, there have been a couple of babies infected in Singapore.

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by netheril96 on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:56AM (#22420954)
There have been several infants in China having contracted COVID-19. But no deaths yet.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by PopePompus on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:00AM (#22420686)
Seems worse than the average flu AND unlike the flu, there's no vaccine (and there probably won't be one in time to make much of a difference).
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by jmnicolas on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @02:33AM (#22421112)
They need a minimum of 18 months (assuming perfect conditions) to be able to commercialize a vaccine.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by bulutsuzku on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:32AM (#22420846)
Can anyone just explain how in hell it takes so long to develop a vaccine?

Vaccine creators aren't supposed to have billions of USD to make their job? What's the real problem here?

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by pbourke on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @03:22AM (#22421360)
1. Come up with the vaccine

2. Test vaccine on animals

3. Prove to regulators vaccine is safe enough for limited human trials

4. Conduct limited human trials

5. Research effectiveness of vaccine / absence of side effects

6. Conduct broader human trials

7. Step 5 again

8. Scale up production of vaccine

Now, imagine that you can fail at any step and go back to the starting point.

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by mrfusion on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @08:02AM (#22422496)
I know most people here like to defend the established ways of doing things. But in an crisis like this we need to go back to first principles and see which steps are really needed and what can be speed up.

Every day we waste people die.

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by manquer on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @07:43PM (#22429194)
a rushed vaccine that has poorly understood side effects like say cancer rate differences or is fatal for people with some other disease is more dangerous than the disease itself. Many more people will end up taking the vaccine than just those having the infection.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by testplzignore on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @06:41AM (#22422154)
If this situation got really bad, what are the chances of this timeline being accelerated? The US has step 1 done now. Could we roll the dice on doing broader human trials immediately and also in parallel scale up production? Sure you might kill people in trials and waste lots of money, but may be better than the alternative of tens of millions dead.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by mantap on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @06:44AM (#22422168)
Are you volunteering?
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by cromulent on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @10:14AM (#22423615)
My understanding is that it is very labor intensive and the manufacturing capacity is simply not there to make billions of doses in a short timescale (months).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_vaccine#Manufacturin...