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A comment on World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Supply Chains. Parent comment

Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by whatshisface on Sunday February 23, 2020 @09:58PM (#22401267)
Dead/recovered is also skewed because if someone is going to die, they will die before the illness has "run its course," whereas someone who is going to recover will have it for longer before they count for their statistic. As a result it is also skewed by the exponential growth, albeit in the opposite direction. I really feel like none of the statistics I am seeing are satisfying...
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Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by abandonliberty on Monday February 24, 2020 @11:44AM (#22405634)
This Chinese study used 28-day mortality rate.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2...

The best measure will be something of this sort, with a sufficient duration to catch most of the fatalities.

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Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by cameldrv on Sunday February 23, 2020 @10:11PM (#22401321)
That's not clear. Many people are getting antivirals and clearing the disease in a few days.
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Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by whatshisface on Sunday February 23, 2020 @10:17PM (#22401347)
Presumably there are also people who die abnormally early. Unfortunately I have not seen what we really need to see: a breakdown of dead/recovered by day since infection. Without it there is no way to accurately assess the deathrate in an environment where new people are quickly falling ill.
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Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by jdkee on Sunday February 23, 2020 @10:55PM (#22401520)
There is no evidence to date that anti-retrovirals are successful at treating this infection.
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Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by cameldrv on Monday February 24, 2020 @02:46AM (#22402356)
Many people in China have been treated. There is an ongoing trial that is supposed to have results in a couple of weeks. Patients in the U.S., Korea, and Thailand have all been treated with antivirals and dramatically improved within a day or two.

This was released Thursday: https://www.thelancet.com/pb-assets/Lancet/pdfs/S22132600203...

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Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by chroem- on Sunday February 23, 2020 @11:10PM (#22401584)
I'm sorry, but that's just plain wrong. The first US case at Providence Everett got well in a few days thanks to antivirals.
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Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by jdkee on Monday February 24, 2020 @03:13PM (#22407954)
Citation?
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Re:World Economy Shudders as Coronavirus Threatens Global Su... by cameldrv on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @12:34AM (#22420576)
https://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191
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