Re:An investigation of the Pentagon's UFO program
by tgflynn on Thursday February 20, 2020 @03:48PM
(#22378459)
Well, I don't see how you can make progress without formulating theories (more correctly, hypotheses).
I think the problem is when people become attached to a particular hypothesis. Many people seem unable to accept that they only have sufficient information to assign probabilities to different hypotheses and instead always assign probability 1 to their favorite hypothesis and 0 to all the others.
I think the problem is when people become attached to a particular hypothesis. Many people seem unable to accept that they only have sufficient information to assign probabilities to different hypotheses and instead always assign probability 1 to their favorite hypothesis and 0 to all the others.